I-Global Steel Market iyaqhubeka nokubonisa iimpawu zotshintsho.
Iimveliso zentsimbi zidlala indima ebalulekileyo kumashishini amaninzi ehlabathini lonke. Ngo-2021, amaxabiso afikelele kwirekhodi eliphezulu kufutshane ne-6,200 Yuan ngetoni nganye. Kule minyaka mibini ilandelayo, amaxabiso azinzile kwaye azinzile.
Ngo-2024, imimandla ibonisa amazinga ahlukeneyo okukhula kwemfuno yentsimbi:
Ummandla |
Izinga loHlumo oluqikelelweyo luka-2024 |
Ihlabathi jikelele (ngaphandle kweTshayina) |
3-4% |
US |
1.5-3.5% |
i-EU |
2-4% |
Brazil |
0.5-2.5% |
Indiya |
6.5-8.5% |
La manani abonisa ukuba imfuno yeemveliso zentsimbi inokutshintsha njani ukusuka kwindawo ukuya kwenye.
Ixesha lelixa |
Steel Price Evolution |
2021 |
Ukunyuka kwexabiso ngokwembali (ukuya kwi-6,200 Yuan/tonne) |
2022–2023 |
Ukuhla ngokuthe ngcembe nokuzinza |
Izinto eziphambili zokuThatha
Imarike yentsimbi yehlabathi ibangcono ngokucothayo. Imfuno ilindeleke ukuba ikhule nge-1.3% ngo-2026. Oku kungenxa yeeprojekthi zeziseko ezingundoqo ezintsha kunye nemveliso engaphezulu.
I-China ne-Indiya zibalulekile kwimarike yentsimbi. Imithetho yemveliso yaseTshayina kunye nokukhula kweziseko ezingundoqo zaseIndiya kuchaphazela amaxabiso kunye nemfuno kwihlabathi jikelele.
Amaxabiso entsimbi ayakuhlala eqinile okanye enyuke kancinci ngo-2026. Oku kungenxa yemfuno yasekuhlaleni, inkcitho karhulumente, kunye nemithetho yorhwebo.
Iinkampani zinokutyala imali kwiiprojekthi zetsimbi eluhlaza kunye nezixhobo zedijithali. Oku kubanceda basebenze ngcono kwaye balandele imithetho yokusingqongileyo.
Kubalulekile ukubukela umahluko kwimfuno yentsimbi kwimimandla eyahlukeneyo. Amashishini nawo kufuneka ajonge imingcipheko yekhonkco lokubonelela ukuphatha utshintsho kwimarike.
UkuBuyiswa kwakhona kweMarike yentsimbi yeHlabathi ngo-2026
Ubume bangoku kunye neendlela
Imarike yentsimbi yehlabathi iya isibangcono kancinci njengoko u-2026 esondela. Amanani akutshanje abonisa ukuba imfuno yentsimbi ingakhula nge-1.3% ngo-2026. Oku kulandela ixesha apho amaxabiso aye azinzile emva kokutsiba okukhulu ngo-2021. Kunyaka ophelileyo, ihlabathi lenze malunga ne-1,773 yezigidi zeetoni zentsimbi. Oku kubonisa ukuba imveliso yahlala iqinile. Iingcali zithi olu luphuculo oluncinci, hayi ukubuya okukhulu.
Amaxabiso entsimbi asephantsi kwiindawo ezininzi. Uninzi lwemimandla ayicingi ukuba amaxabiso aya kubuyela kumanqanaba aphezulu ka-2021. Endaweni yoko, amaxabiso azinzile okanye anyuke kancinci. Oku kwenzeka ngenxa yokuba unikezelo kunye nemfuno zilinganisiwe. Imfuno yasekhaya ibalulekile kwezi ndlela. Kumazwe amaninzi, iiprojekthi zokwakha nokuvelisa zinceda imarike. INorth America ilindele ukunyuka okuncinci kwi-2025 ngenxa yezi projekthi. Ngo-2026, uMntla Melika unokubona ukukhula okuthe kratya njengoko inkcitho karhulumente iqhubeka.
Imarike yentsimbi yehlabathi ixhomekeke kwimfuno yasekhaya kunye nemiyalelo yokuthumela ngaphandle. Ukufudukela kwabantu ezidolophini kunye nokuphuculwa kweziseko ezingundoqo kunceda ukwandisa imfuno kumazwe asakhasayo.
Itheyibhile engezantsi ibonisa utshintsho lwamva nje kwimarike yentsimbi yehlabathi:
Ummandla |
Unyaka |
Ukukhula okuqikelelweyo (%) |
Abaqhubi abaphambili |
amantla Emelika |
2025 |
Ukwanda okuncinci |
Iiprojekthi zeziseko zophuhliso, imiyalelo yokuvelisa |
amantla Emelika |
2026 |
Ukukhula okomelezayo |
Izicwangciso zotyalo-mali eziqhubekayo zikarhulumente |
ilatin America |
2025 |
5.5% |
Ulwakhiwo lweziseko ezingundoqo olukhokelwa ngurhulumente |
UMzantsi-mpuma Asia |
2026 |
Amabala aqaqambileyo |
Imijikelo yokuya ezidolophini, ii-odolo zokuvelisa kumazwe angaphandle |
Ehlabathini lonke |
2025 |
Izinzile |
Ukuphuculwa kweziseko zophuhliso, imfuno yomjikelo |
Ehlabathini lonke |
2026 |
1.3% |
Ukuchacha kuqoqosho oluphuhlayo |
Umahluko weNgingqi
Ukwahluka kommandla kuchaphazela imarike yentsimbi yehlabathi ngo-2026. I-China ngumvelisi omkhulu kunye nomsebenzisi wentsimbi. Izenzo zaseTshayina zitshintsha amaxabiso kunye nemfuno yonke indawo. Kutshanje, i-China izama ukulungelelanisa iimfuno zayo kunye nokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe. Urhulumente uchitha imali ekwakheni nakwiprojekthi zedolophu. La manyathelo agcina imfuno yentsimbi izinzile e-China.
I-Indiya nayo ibalulekile. I-Indiya ilindele ukukhula okunamandla kwimfuno yensimbi, phakathi kwe-6.5% kunye ne-8.5% ngo-2024. I-Indiya yakha iziseko ezitsha kwaye ikhulisa iifektri zayo. Ezi ntshukumo zinceda imarike yentsimbi yehlabathi kwaye yenze ukukhula okucothayo kwezinye iindawo.
UMntla Merika kunye neLatin America zahlukile. UMntla Melika uxhomekeke kwinkcitho karhulumente kunye nemveliso ukugcina imfuno phezulu. ILatin America ifumana uncedo kwiiprojekthi zokwakha zikarhulumente. I-Asia-mpuma ye-Asia ineendawo ezintle ngenxa yokukhula kwesixeko kunye nokuveliswa kwamanye amazwe.
IYurophu ineengxaki kwimarike yentsimbi. IYurophu ijongene nokukhula okucothayo koqoqosho kunye neendleko eziphezulu zamandla. Imfuno yentsimbi eYurophu ibuthathaka xa ithelekiswa neIndiya neTshayina. Ke, abenzi bentsimbi baseYurophu bajonga amathuba okuthengisa kumazwe angaphandle.
I-China isabaluleke kakhulu kwimarike yentsimbi yehlabathi. Imithetho yaseTshayina malunga nemveliso, ukuthumela ngaphandle, kunye nokusingqongileyo ukutshintsha unikezelo kunye namaxabiso. Xa iChina idinga intsimbi eninzi ekhaya, ithumela ngaphandle ngaphantsi kwaye amaxabiso ayenyuka. Xa imfuno yaseChina icotha, ithumela ngaphandle intsimbi eninzi, enokuthi ihlise amaxabiso kwezinye iindawo.
Abantu kufuneka banikele ingqalelo kwimfuno yaseTshayina kunye notshintsho lomgaqo-nkqubo. Ezi zinto ziyakuchaphazela indlela imarike yentsimbi yehlabathi ibuyela ngayo ngo-2026.
Imarike yentsimbi yehlabathi iya ibangcono kancinane. Umahluko kwimfuno, inkcitho karhulumente, kunye nezicwangciso zokuthumela ngaphandle kwenza izinto zibe nzima. I-China ne-Indiya zikhokela ukukhula, ngelixa ezinye iingingqi zilungelelanisa utshintsho olutsha.
IGlobal Steel Market Price Outlook 2026
Uqikelelo lwexabiso kunye noQhekelelo
Iingcali zicinga ukuba amaxabiso entsimbi aya kuhlala eqinile okanye anyuke kancinci phakathi kwe-2026. Oku kungenxa yokuba kwilizwe ngalinye abantu bahlala bethenga intsimbi, kwaye eminye imithetho inceda iinkampani zasekuhlaleni. Itheyibhile engezantsi ibonisa ukuba iingcali zicinga ukuba kuya kwenzeka ntoni ngo-2026:
Umba |
2026 Outlook |
Price Trend |
Amaxabiso azinzile okanye anyuke kancinci |
Ukukhula kwemfuno |
Malunga nokunyuka kwe-1.8%, okukhokelwa ziziseko ezingundoqo kunye notyalo-mali lwemveliso |
Impembelelo yoMgaqo-nkqubo woRhwebo |
Amaxabiso akhuselayo agcina amaxabiso angaphakathi ephezulu kwaye anciphisa ukhuphiswano lwamazwe angaphandle |
Imveliso Outlook |
Imveliso yentsimbi yase-US inyuke malunga ne-3% unyaka nonyaka ekuqaleni kuka-2026 |
Amaxabiso entsimbi ngo-2026 mhlawumbi aya kuba phezulu kunangaphambi kuka-2020. Amaxabiso akufuneki ehle kakhulu. Iiprojekthi zokwakha kunye neendlela ziya kunceda ukugcina amaxabiso omelele. Imithetho emitsha yokusingqongileyo kunye nentsimbi eluhlaza iya kugcina amaxabiso ehla.
Amaxabiso entsimbi ngo-2026 aya kuba phezulu kunangaphambi kowama-2020.
Akuyi kubakho utshintsho olukhulu kwixabiso.
Ukwakhiwa kunye nokusebenza kwendlela kuya kunceda amaxabiso ahlale engaguquki.
Imithetho emitsha yokusingqongileyo iya kumisa amaxabiso ukuba ehle.
Izinto Eziphembelela Amaxabiso
Izinto ezininzi zichaphazela amaxabiso ensimbi ngo-2026. Eyona nto ibaluleke kakhulu kukuba abantu bensimbi bafuna kangakanani kwaye bangakanani. Ukuba abantu abaninzi bafuna intsimbi, amaxabiso ayenyuka. Ukuba bambalwa abantu abafuna intsimbi, amaxabiso ayehla. Iindleko zezinto ezifana nentsimbi ekrwada kunye namalahle okuphekela nazo zibalulekile. Ukuba iindleko zamandla zinyuka, kubiza ngaphezulu ukwenza intsimbi, ngoko ke amaxabiso anokunyuka.
Imithetho malunga norhwebo kunye neerhafu inokutshintsha indlela intsimbi ehamba ngayo phakathi kwamazwe. Le migaqo inokwenza amaxabiso ehle okanye ehle. Xa amazwe ekhula, kufuneka intsimbi engakumbi yezakhiwo, iimoto noomatshini. Utshintsho kumaxabiso emali lunokutshintsha amaxabiso kwiindawo ezahlukeneyo. Iimfazwe okanye utshintsho olukhulu lwezopolitiko lungonakalisa ikhonkco lokubonelela kwaye zenze amaxabiso atshintshe ngokukhawuleza.
Umba |
Ingcaciso |
Ubonelelo kunye neMfuno yeHlabathi |
Ibhalansi phakathi kokubonelela kunye nemfuno ngumqhubi oyintloko wamaxabiso ensimbi. Ukunyuka kwemfuno yonyusa amaxabiso, ngelixa ukuhla kwemfuno kuyawathoba. |
Iindleko zeMathiriyeli ekrwada |
Amaxabiso ezinto eziluhlaza ezifana nentsimbi yentsimbi kunye namalahle e-coking achaphazela ngqo iindleko zokuvelisa intsimbi kwaye, ngenxa yoko, amaxabiso ensimbi. |
Amaxabiso Amandla |
Ukuhla kumaxabiso ombane kunempembelelo kwiindleko zemveliso, kunye neendleko eziphezulu zamandla ezikhokelela ekunyukeni kwamaxabiso entsimbi. |
Imigaqo-nkqubo yoRhwebo kunye neeRhafu |
Uluhlu lweerhafu lunokutshintsha unikezelo lwehlabathi kunye nemfuno ye-dynamics, echaphazela amaxabiso entsimbi kakhulu. |
Ukukhula koQoqosho kunye noMsebenzi |
Ukukhula koqoqosho kukhulisa imfuno yentsimbi, ngelixa ukuhla kunokunciphisa, kuchaphazela amaxabiso. |
Ukuguquguquka kwemali |
Ukutshintsha kwexabiso lemali kunokuchaphazela amaxabiso entsimbi kwiimarike ezahlukeneyo, okuchaphazela urhwebo lwehlabathi. |
Iziganeko zeGeopolitical |
Ungquzulwano kunye nokungazinzi kwezopolitiko kunokuphazamisa ikhonkco lokubonelela, okukhokelela ekutshintsheni kwamaxabiso. |
E-United States, ixabiso lensimbi liye lanyuka nge-40 yeetoni ezimfutshane ukususela ngoJanuwari 2026. Ngoku, amaxabiso angama-136 kwi-$ 178 aphezulu kunamaxabiso aphantsi ekupheleni kwe-2025. Akukho ntsimbi eyaneleyo, ngakumbi i-coil eshushu, ngoko ke amaxabiso aphezulu. Abantu abaninzi baodola intsimbi, nto leyo eyenza ukuba kuthathe ixesha elide ukuyifumana. Ezinye iinkampani ziceba ukwenza intsimbi eninzi yokwakha kunye neefektri ekuqaleni kuka-2026.
Imingcipheko kunye nokungaqiniseki
Imarike yentsimbi yehlabathi inemingcipheko ethile kwi-2026. Kubiza kakhulu ukwenza isinyithi, okunzima kwiinkampani. Abantu abathenga intsimbi banokuyifumana ibiza kakhulu. Iingxaki phakathi kwamazwe zingenza kube nzima ukuthengisa intsimbi, ngakumbi kumazwe athengisa kakhulu kwabanye. Iimfazwe okanye iingxaki zezopolitiko zinokwenza amashishini kunye nabantu bakhathazeke.
Ukwenza intsimbi kubiza kakhulu kwiinkampani.
Abantu banokuba nengxaki yokuhlawulela intsimbi.
Iingxaki phakathi kwamazwe zinokuthoba iintengiso zentsimbi.
Iimfazwe okanye iingxaki zezopolitiko zinokwenza abantu kunye namashishini bangaqinisekanga.
Ukuba uqoqosho lwehlabathi lukhula kancinci, ngakumbi e-China, abantu banokuthenga intsimbi encinci. Abantu bathenga isinyithi xa besakha izinto okanye besenza oomatshini. Ukuba amazwe alwela urhwebo okanye aneengxaki zezopolitiko, ukukhula kunokucotha kwaye amaxabiso angehla. Imarike yentsimbi inomdla kwezi ngxaki. Ukuba ziba mbi ngakumbi, abantu banokuthenga intsimbi encinci kwaye amaxabiso anokwehla.
Iziganeko ezimangalisayo zinokutshintsha imarike. Umzekelo, iirhafu ezintsha okanye iingxaki zokufumana iimpahla zinokwenza amaxabiso atshintshe ngokukhawuleza. Itheyibhile engezantsi ibonisa indlela ezi zinto ezinokuchaphazela ngayo imarike yentsimbi:
Inkqubo |
Inkcazo |
IiRhafu ezibuyelanayo |
Ukunyuswa kweentlawulo phakathi kwamazwe, afana ne-US ne-China, nyusa iindleko kunye nokwenza ulawulo lwamaxabiso lube nzima. |
IiRhafu eziNgqongileyo zeCandelo |
Iintlawulo zentsimbi zingatshintsha iibenchmarks zexabiso zehlabathi kwaye zenze uqikelelo lweendleko lube nzima. |
ICandelo 232 leeRhafu |
I-US iphindaphinde imirhumo yentsimbi ngo-2025, ibangela ukuphazamiseka kwikhonkco lokubonelela njengoko ababoneleli bangaphandle banqumamisa ukuthumela ngaphandle. |
Ithuba lomboneleli |
Abaniki-nkonzo banokunyusa amaxabiso ngokuphendula kumaxabiso, behlisa imida yengeniso kubavelisi. |
Ukungazinzi kwezeMali yababoneleli |
Iingxaki zemali phakathi kwababoneleli zingaphazamisa imveliso kwaye zinyanzelise abathengi ukuba bafumane imithombo emitsha ngokukhawuleza. |
Uncedo oluNye |
Ukuxhomekeka kumthengisi omnye kwandisa umngcipheko wokuphazamiseka kunye neendleko eziphezulu. |
Uxinzelelo loLawulo |
Imithetho emitsha, ngakumbi kwi-EU, ifuna ukucaca ngakumbi kwekhonkco lokubonelela kwaye inokukhokelela kwizohlwayo zokungathobeli. |
Imarike yensimbi ngo-2026 iya kuxhomekeka kwindlela iinkampani kunye nabathengi abaphatha ngayo le mingcipheko. Kufuneka bajonge imithetho emitsha yorhwebo, iingxaki zokubonelela, kunye notshintsho kuqoqosho lwehlabathi.
Banga abaqhubi
Iziseko zoncedo noLwakhiwo
Iziseko zophuhliso kunye neeprojekthi zokwakha zibaluleke kakhulu kwiimfuno zentsimbi. Kwi-2026, iingcali zicinga ukuba imfuno yensimbi iya kunyuka nge-1.3%. Oku kwenzeka ngenxa yokuba oorhulumente bahlala bechitha imali ezindleleni nakwiibhulorho. Amazwe amaninzi axhasa imisebenzi emikhulu yokwakha. Oku kunceda ukugcina imarike yentsimbi yomelele nangona kukho imingcipheko.
Izixeko zenza iinkqubo zazo zezithuthi zikawonke-wonke zibe nkulu. Abakhi benza izakhiwo ezide ngakumbi kwizixeko ezixakekileyo. Iiprojekthi zothutho lukawonke-wonke ziyakhula kwiindawo ezifana neIndiya. Ukufudukela ezidolophini eAsia naseAfrika kuthetha ukuba kufuneka intsimbi engaphezulu. Iinkqubo zikarhulumente, ezifana neSmart Cities Mission yaseIndiya, zinceda ukukhulisa ulwakhiwo kunye nokunyusa imfuno yentsimbi.
Iinkqubo zothutho ezidolophini zinceda ukudibanisa abantu.
Izakhiwo eziphakamileyo ezininzi zakhiwa ezixekweni.
Iiprojekthi zothutho lukawonke-wonke ziyakhula kwiimarike ezintsha.
Ukufudukela ezidolophini eAsia naseAfrika kusebenzisa intsimbi engaphezulu.
Iinkqubo zikarhulumente zinceda ekwakheni iziseko ezingundoqo ezitsha.
Imarike yensimbi engenasici ikhula njengoko izakhiwo ezininzi zenziwe. Ezi ndlela zibonisa ukuba ukwakhiwa kunye neziseko zophuhliso ziya kuqhubeka ziqhuba imfuno yentsimbi ngo-2026.
Amacandelo ezeMoto kunye nezaMandla
Amacandelo eemoto kunye namandla nawo achaphazela imfuno yentsimbi. Icandelo leemoto lithenga ubuncinane i-60% yentsimbi yase-US yokuqala. Abenzi beemoto ezifana ne-Ford kunye ne-General Motors bafuna ukusebenzisa isinyithi esiluhlaza ngakumbi ngo-2030. Nangona iinkampani zisebenzisa insimbi eluhlaza, intsimbi eqhelekileyo isadingeka kwiimoto.
Itekhnoloji entsha iyayitshintsha indlela la mashishini asebenzisa ngayo intsimbi. Intsimbi ephezulu inceda iimoto zisebenzise amafutha amancinci kwaye zenze ungcoliseko oluncinci. Izinto ezikhanyayo ezifana ne-aluminiyam kunye ne-composites zisetyenziswa ngentsimbi ukuhlangabezana nemithetho emitsha. Intsimbi enganyangekiyo ekutyeni inceda iimoto ukuba zihlale ixesha elide. Intsimbi isetyenziswa kwiimoto eziziqhubayo kunye nezivamvo. Ukurisayikilishwa kwentsimbi kunceda ukunciphisa umonakalo kwimo engqongileyo.
Ishishini lemoto lisebenzisa malunga ne-12% yazo zonke iintsimbi ezenziweyo.
Intsimbi eluhlaza inokutshintsha ukuba bangakanani abenzi beemoto ezifunekayo.
Iindlela ezintsha zokwenza intsimbi incede ukuhlangabezana noyilo lwemoto entsha.
ICarbon flat rolled steel ibalulekile ekwenzeni iimoto. Yomelele kwaye kulula ukuyibumba, ngoko ke iimoto zinokukhaphukhaphu kwaye zibengcono. Njengoko imithetho yamandla iya iba ngqongqo, intsimbi ihlala ibalulekile ekwenzeni iimoto kunye neemveliso zamandla.
Izinto zokubonelela
Imveliso kunye nesakhono
Imveliso yentsimbi inceda imarike ukuhlangabezana neemfuno zexesha elizayo. Amazwe amakhulu avelisa intsimbi azama ukusebenzisa ubutyebi bawo ngcono. I-Baosteel e-China yatshintsha isicwangciso sayo. Ayisakhuli ngokukhawuleza. Ngoku, isebenza ukuba isebenze ngakumbi. Inkampani ihambelana nokuba yimalini eyenzayo kunye nezinto ezifunwa ngabantu. Oku kunqanda ukwenziwa kwentsimbi eninzi kwaye igcina izinto zilungelelene.
Amanye amazwe atshintsha izicwangciso zawo nawo. Bajonga imfuno phambi kokuba benze intsimbi engakumbi. Abenzi bentsimbi abaninzi basebenzisa iteknoloji entsha ukwenza intsimbi engakumbi. Abakhi iifektri ezintsha. La manyathelo anceda iinkampani ukuba zihlale zilungele utshintsho. Banokwenza ngokukhawuleza xa imarike itshintsha.
Abenzi bentsimbi abasebenzisa izixhobo kakuhle banokonga imali kwaye bahlangabezane noko bafuna abathengi.
IiMathiriyeli ezikrwada kunye noTyalo-mali
Izinto eziluhlaza zibalulekile ekwenzeni intsimbi. Ekuqaleni kuka-2026, amaxabiso e-nickel anyuke nge-11.3%. I-Indonesia yenze i-nickel encinci, ngoko kwakunzima ukuyifumana. Oku kwenza intsimbi ixabisa ngakumbi. Ngelo xesha, amaxabiso e-carbon ferrochrome ehla nge-2.4%. Oomatshini bokusila baseTshayina babefuna ngaphantsi, ngoko ke amaxabiso ehla. Ixabiso le-304 yensimbi engenasici liye lanyuka nge-2.4%. Oku kubonisa ukuba iindleko zenickel eziphezulu zagqithiselwa kubathengi. Iingcali zicinga ukuba ixabiso le-nickel liya kuhlala liphezulu kwikota yesibini ye-2026. Oku kunokwenza i-304 indleko yensimbi engenasici ngakumbi.
I-Labrador Trough kuMntla Melika ineentsimbi ezininzi zodidi oluphezulu.
Ezi iidiphozithi zinceda ukwenza intsimbi yokwakha kunye neemoto.
Lo mmandla ukufuphi neCanada kunye neMelika ngokuthunyelwa ngenqanawa.
Iindlela ezimfutshane zokuthumela ngenqanawa zenza ukuba izithuthi zingabizi mali ininzi.
Oku kunceda uMntla Melika ugcine imveliso yentsimbi eyomeleleyo.
Utyalo-mali kwiziseko zemigodi kunye nentsimbi kusabalulekile. Igcina imathiriyeli ekrwada isiza kwaye inceda ukukhula. Iinkampani ezityala imali ngobuchule zinokusingatha utshintsho kwimfuno kwaye zigcine ishishini labo liqhuba kakuhle.
Iimpembelelo zoRhwebo kunye noMgaqo-nkqubo
Iintlawulo kunye nezivumelwano
Iintlawulo kunye nezivumelwano zorhwebo zitshintsha imarike yensimbi kwi-2026. Amazwe amaninzi asebenzisa iintlawulo zokunceda iinkampani zabo zetsimbi. I-United States ibeka ixabiso le-25% kwintsimbi evela kwamanye amazwe. Ngomhla we-2 ku-Epreli, i-US kunye namanye amazwe bongeza iirhafu ezintsha malunga nawo onke amaqabane orhwebo. NgoJuni, i-US yenza iintlawulo zayo zentsimbi ziphezulu, ukuya kuthi ga kwi-50%. Ngenxa yoko, iMexico yathumela isiqingatha sentsimbi e-US I-US nayo yongeza iirhafu kwiintlobo ze-407 zensimbi kunye ne-aluminium. Ezinye izivumelwano zorhwebo ezintsha zenze ukuba iirhafu zibe phantsi kumazwe ambalwa, kodwa uninzi lweerhafu zentsimbi zisaphezulu kuma-50%.
Amaxabiso anceda abenzi bentsimbi basekhaya kwaye batshintshe indlela intsimbi ethengiswa ngayo kwihlabathi jikelele.
Izivumelwano zorhwebo ezifana neSivumelwano esiBanzi kunye neNkqubela kwiNtsebenziswano ye-Trans-Pacific (CPTPP) yenza kube lula kwamanye amazwe ukuba athengise intsimbi kunye nokutyala imali kwezinye iindawo.
I-China yenza ngaphezu kwesiqingatha sentsimbi yehlabathi, ngoko ke imithetho yayo yokuthumela ngaphandle kunye nemithetho yokusingqongileyo ichaphazela amaxabiso kunye nokubonelela.
I-European Union ifuna intsimbi eluhlaza ngakumbi kwaye inemithetho engqongqo yemozulu, etshintsha indlela ezinye iindawo ezenza ngayo intsimbi.
Iintlawulo kunye nezivumelwano zorhwebo zinokwenza amaxabiso anyuke, atshintshe indlela ehamba ngayo intsimbi, kwaye ancede eminye imimandla ikhuphisane ngcono.
Supply Chain Shifts
Amakhonkco okubonelela ngentsimbi ayatshintsha ngenxa yemithetho emitsha yorhwebo, izixhobo ezimbalwa, kunye neziganeko zehlabathi. Itheyibhile engezantsi ibonisa utshintsho olukhulu:
Supply Chain Shift |
Inkcazo |
Ukhuseleko lweziBonelelo |
I-Indonesia yenza i-nickel ore encinci, ngoko kubiza ngaphezulu ukwenza intsimbi engatyiwayo. |
Imiqobo yoRhwebo |
I-Turkey ibeka irhafu eyongezelelweyo kwintsimbi yaseTshayina. I-Australia yatshintsha imithetho yayo yokurhweba ngentsimbi. |
Ukuphazamiseka kweGeopolitical |
Uhlaselo lweDrone eRussia lwenza ukuhambisa iimpahla kwaba nzima, ke iinkampani zifuna iindlela zokubonelela ngakumbi. |
Iinkampani zenza izinto ezahlukeneyo ukujongana nolu tshintsho:
Basebenza nababoneleli abaninzi ukuze bangaxhomekeki komnye kuphela.
Basebenzisa iikhontrakthi zexesha elizayo ukugcina amaxabiso azinzileyo.
Bathenga itekhnoloji entsha ukujonga ikhonkco labo lokubonelela ngokusondeleyo.
Benza izicwangciso zokugcina kwaye bafundise abasebenzi ukuba benze ntoni xa kukho into engahambi kakuhle.
Bajonga iingozi rhoqo kwaye batshintshe izicwangciso zabo xa kuyimfuneko.
Iinkampani zizama iindlela ezintsha zokuthumela ngenqanawa ukugcina intsimbi ihamba.
Bathumela iimpahla kunye ukugcina imali kunye nexesha.
Batshintsha iindlela zokuhambisa ukumisa ukulibaziseka.
I-MMI, inkampani yentsimbi, ihlola imingcipheko rhoqo kwaye isoloko inesicwangciso seengxaki zequbuliso. Oku kubanceda benze ngokukhawuleza xa kukho into engahambi kakuhle.
Iinkampani ezilungiselela umngcipheko wekhonkco lokubonelela zinokuhlala zomelele, nangona imarike itshintsha ngokukhawuleza.
Iindlela zeTekhnoloji
Amanyathelo eSsimbi eluhlaza
Abenzi bentsimbi bayayitshintsha indlela abenza ngayo intsimbi. Bafuna ukuthoba ungcoliseko kwaye balandele imithetho emitsha. Iinkampani ezininzi zisebenzisa ubuchwepheshe be-Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) ngoku. Ngo-2032, ngaphezu kwesiqingatha sezityalo zentsimbi ezitsha ziya kusebenzisa i-EAF. Oku kunceda ukunciphisa ukukhutshwa kwekhabhoni kunye nokufikelela kwiinjongo ze-decarbonization. Amaxabiso ekhabhoni kunye nemithetho yelizwe iya kunceda ukwehlisa ngaphezulu kwe-20.5 yezigidi zeetoni zeCO2. I-Asia Pacific yenza intsimbi eninzi, ngelixa iYurophu inemithetho eyomeleleyo ye-decarbonization.
Iimbalasane eziphambili |
Iinkcukacha |
Ukwamkelwa kwe-EAF ngo-2032 |
Ngaphezu kwesiqingatha sezityalo ezitsha zentsimbi ziya kusebenzisa i-EAF. |
Impembelelo yoLawulo |
Imithetho kunye namaxabiso ekhabhoni aya kuthoba ngaphezulu kwe-20.5 yezigidi zeetoni zeCO2. |
Ukukhula koMmandla |
I-Asia Pacific ikhula ngokukhawuleza, iYurophu ibeka imithetho enzima. |
Imfuno yentsimbi eluhlaza |
Imfuno yentsimbi eluhlaza kwisakhiwo iya kufikelela kwi-4.49 yezigidi zeetoni ngo-2030. |
Imithetho yokusingqongileyo ibalulekile kwi-decarbonization. Le mithetho yenza abenzi bentsimbi basebenzise iindlela ezicocekileyo. E-China, imithetho yanceda ungcoliseko oluphantsi, kodwa inkqubela iyacotha. Imigaqo eyahlukeneyo itshintsha inyathelo ngalinye lokwenza intsimbi. Ukukhutshwa kwekhabhoni kwenzeka ngezantya ezahlukeneyo kwiindawo ezahlukeneyo.
Ukwenziwa kwedijithali
I-Digitalization iyatshintsha indlela iinkampani zentsimbi ezisebenza ngayo. Basebenzisa izixhobo ezitsha zokusebenza ngokukhawuleza kunye nokuxhasa i-decarbonization. Iinkampani ezininzi zisebenzisa i-IoT, idatha enkulu, i-AI, i-blockchain, kunye ne-RPA.
Iteknoloji |
Isishwankathelo |
Impembelelo |
I-Intanethi yezinto (IoT) |
Isebenzisa abenzi boluvo kunye nezixhobo ezikrelekrele ukuqokelela idatha. |
Wenza umsebenzi ube lula kwaye uphucula ukusebenza kakuhle. |
Idatha enkulu kunye ne-Analytics |
Ijonga idatha eninzi yokuqonda. |
Inceda ukucwangcisa imveliso kwaye yenza uqikelelo lubengcono. |
Ubukrelekrele bokwenziwa (AI) |
Ijonga idatha yengqikelelo kunye neengcebiso. |
Yenza umsebenzi uchaneke ngakumbi kwaye unciphisa ixesha lokuphumla. |
I-Blockchain |
Ugcina iirekhodi zentengiselwano zikhuselekile. |
Yenza umkhondo ube lula kwaye unqande ubuqhophololo. |
Ukuzenzekela kweNkqubo yeRobhothi (RPA) |
Izenzele imisebenzi ephinda-phindayo. |
Ukukhawulezisa umsebenzi kwaye kwehlisa iimpazamo. |
Abenzi bentsimbi basebenzisa i-IoT sensors ukufumana idatha kunye nokuphucula umsebenzi. I-Digital Twin ibavumela ukuba bavavanye utshintsho kwiikhompyuter, ezigcina imali. I-AI inceda ukulawula amakhonkco okubonelela kunye nokusika inkunkuma. Ezi zixhobo zinceda i-decarbonization ngokwenza imveliso ibe krelekrele kwaye ingamoshi kangako.
'Sifuna ukusebenzisa ubushushu obaneleyo kunye nemathiriyeli ukufumana umgangatho ochanekileyo ngexabiso eliphantsi kunye nenkcitho encinci.'
Iinkampani ezifana ne-Tata Steel kunye ne-US Steel zisebenzisa i-AI kunye ne-analytics ukugcina imali nokusebenza ngcono. I-Tata Steel yenza ngaphezulu kwe-260 algorithms kwizigqibo zexesha lokwenyani. I-US Steel isebenzisa isoftware ye-AI yokucwangcisa iindleko ezingcono. La manyathelo anceda ishishini ukuba lifikelele usukelo lwe-decarbonization.
Imarike yentsimbi yehlabathi ifumana ngcono kancinci ngo-2026. Oku kungenxa yokuba amazwe achitha imali ekwakheni izinto. I-Indiya kunye namanye amazwe akhulayo adinga intsimbi engakumbi. Amazwe atyebileyo akakhuli ngokukhawuleza. Ukwakha izinto ezintsha kusebenzisa eyona intsimbi. Ishishini leemoto nalo liyakhula ngenxa yeemoto zombane. Ngoku, ngaphezu kwefektri enye kwezintathu zisebenzisa ii-arc furnaces zombane. Oku kuthetha ukuba basebenzisa intsimbi ehlaziyiweyo. Abantu kufuneka babukele amaxabiso entsimbi kwiindawo ezahlukeneyo kwaye babeke iliso kwiindleko zempahla ekrwada. Basenokwenza ngcono ngokusebenzisa itekhnoloji entsha, ukukhathalela okusingqongileyo, kunye nokwenza iintlobo ezininzi zeemveliso.
Ingcebiso |
Inkcazo |
Uguqulo lweDijithali |
Sebenzisa itekhnoloji ephezulu yokusebenza kakuhle kunye nenkonzo. |
Ukugxila kozinzo |
Khetha iindlela zokonga umbane kunye nohlaza ukuhlangabezana neemfuno ezintsha. |
Ukwahluka kweeMveliso |
Nikeza ngeemveliso ezininzi ukufikelela kwiimarike ezahlukeneyo. |
FAQ
Yintoni eqhuba amaxabiso entsimbi ngo-2026?
Amaxabiso entsimbi axhomekeke kubonelelo, imfuno, kunye neendleko zemathiriyeli ekrwada. Imigaqo-nkqubo karhulumente kunye namaxabiso ombane nawo anendima. Xa amazwe esakha iindlela nemizi-mveliso emininzi, amaxabiso adla ngokunyuka.
Kutheni iChina ibaluleke kakhulu kwimarike yentsimbi?
I-China yenza kwaye isebenzisa intsimbi eninzi kunalo naliphi na elinye ilizwe. Izigqibo zayo malunga nemveliso kunye nokuthunyelwa kwamanye amazwe kunokutshintsha amaxabiso kwihlabathi jikelele. Amazwe amaninzi ajonga imigaqo-nkqubo yaseTshayina ngokusondeleyo.
Intlawulo iluchaphazela njani urhwebo lwentsimbi?
Iintlawulo zenza intsimbi ephuma kumazwe angaphandle ibize kakhulu. Oku kunceda iinkampani zentsimbi zasekuhlaleni kodwa zinokunyusa amaxabiso kubathengi. Iintlawulo zinokutshintsha kwakhona apho intsimbi ivela khona kwaye ngubani oyithengisayo.
Yintoni intsimbi eluhlaza, kwaye kutheni ibalulekile?
Intsimbi eluhlaza isebenzisa iindlela zokucoca ukuthoba ungcoliseko. Iinkampani ezininzi zifuna intsimbi eluhlaza ukuhlangabezana nemithetho emitsha kwaye incede indalo. Insimbi eluhlaza inceda imboni ukunciphisa i-carbon footprint.
